Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 7.261116 8.297798 9.443011 10.804123 12.380575 14.152331 16.299178
2025-06-22 5.899335 7.249779 8.862939 10.940097 13.555608 16.755105 20.989041
2025-06-29 4.991220 6.464012 8.325997 10.868684 14.275163 18.715654 24.998584
2025-07-06 4.327800 5.846017 7.855308 10.733604 14.790990 20.365674 28.707476
2025-07-13 3.981582 5.581482 7.786197 11.081760 15.944053 22.949574 33.980614
2025-07-20 3.674101 5.321679 7.674767 11.328044 16.943002 25.387254 39.314854
2025-07-27 3.466503 5.174473 7.695714 11.750391 18.224899 28.362178 45.832814
2025-08-03 3.123422 4.784498 7.307252 11.489996 18.394742 29.593719 49.655533
2025-08-10 2.853610 4.477847 7.011079 11.333199 18.695295 31.042069 53.991735
2025-08-17 2.623068 4.209620 6.746281 11.192135 18.992199 32.494435 58.490217
2025-08-24 2.414961 3.957645 6.482020 11.019261 19.204383 33.804130 62.869284
2025-08-31 2.223553 3.715890 6.211416 10.804233 19.309965 34.918187 66.996525
2025-09-07 2.162143 3.692477 6.313998 11.267878 20.716222 38.616917 76.757386
2025-09-14 2.050058 3.570575 6.232968 11.386828 21.485107 41.187830 84.591903
2025-09-21 1.919933 3.404946 6.058193 11.310139 21.861335 43.019639 91.110487
2025-09-28 1.793482 3.235299 5.860882 11.168913 22.089286 44.567689 97.212931
2025-10-05 1.744197 3.204457 5.918679 11.532409 23.383139 48.480263 109.216815
2025-10-12 1.684799 3.149200 5.924357 11.789581 24.478734 52.092121 121.056265
2025-10-19 1.650360 3.138979 6.015790 12.230649 26.016144 56.860447 136.426120
2025-10-26 1.540183 2.970992 5.780335 11.958704 25.945476 57.960748 142.775867
2025-11-02 1.450269 2.836932 5.602889 11.794964 26.101267 59.604105 150.772565
2025-11-09 1.369016 2.714546 5.439898 11.647660 26.278527 61.316759 159.213873
2025-11-16 1.290803 2.592846 5.269081 11.467148 26.357714 62.796785 167.247560